Gigaom AI Minute – November 29

Transcript

The range on when people think we will get an artificial general intelligence ranges from five to five hundred years. Generally speaking, people who think it is coming sooner are in the camp of people more likely to be concerned about it, and think that it's potentially a threat to humanity. Why do people disagree so much on this question? I think it boils down to five distinct reasons, and I'd like to cover each one of them in an AI Minute episode.

Number two, how quickly it will grow. People who think that the artificial intelligence is coming soon and that it is something to be concerned about generally think that we're going to build a general intelligence and it is going to be able to improve itself recursively at a speed that not only will we not be able to control but we won't even be able to understand.

The idea that the artificial intelligence will advance its understanding and knowledge of the world, essentially, centuries every hour isn’t just a trope of science fiction, but something that they believe could certainly happen. People who think that it's further out and that it isn't as much of a threat, generally speaking, don't think that the model is necessarily going to be that it will improve itself at those kinds of speed. They tend to see intelligence as more multi-dimensional and it will get better at certain things but not other ones.